🌏한줄 인사이트🌏
콩고가 코발트 수출 쿼터 위반 업체에 영구 퇴출 제재를 예고하며 가격 상승 및 안정화 효과는 기대되지만, 글로벌 공급망 리스크와 기업(CMOC vs GLENCORE) 간 이해관계가 충돌되고 있는 싱황입니다.
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출처 : Mining.com (2025.10.6.)

The Democratic Republic of Congo will permanently ban cobalt exporters that violate its new quota system, President Felix Tshisekedi has warned, as the world’s top producer tightens controls to curb fraud and stabilize prices.
Congo, which accounts for about 70% of global cobalt output, halted exports in February after prices of the critical electric battery metal hit a nine-year low.
A quota system based on historical exports will replace the ban on October 16, Congo’s state minerals regulator ARECOMS said in September. Miners will be allowed to ship up to 18,125 metric tons of cobalt for the rest of 2025, with annual caps of 96,600 tons in 2026 and 2027.
According to minutes from Friday’s cabinet meeting seen by Reuters at the weekend, Tshisekedi plans to apply “exemplary sanctions” including permanent exclusion from Congo’s new cobalt regime to any violators of the system.
Only ARECOMS is authorized to issue and revoke cobalt export quotas, including decisions on allocations, said the minutes.
The cobalt export ban which was extended in June triggered force majeure declarations from Glencore and China’s CMOC Group.
Glencore, the world’s second-largest cobalt producer, supports the quota system while CMOC, the top producer, opposes it.
Tshisekedi said at Friday’s meeting that the export freeze helped drive a 92% rebound in cobalt prices since March, calling the new system “a real lever to influence this strategic market” after years of “predatory strategies(약탈적 전략),” according to the minutes.
The crackdown(단속) comes amid escalating conflict in mineral-rich eastern Congo, where fighting between M23 rebels and the army has killed thousands and displaced hundreds of thousands.
A US-backed peace effort faced a new setback(좌절) on Friday when Congo and Rwanda failed to sign an accord known as a Regional Economic Integration Framework(역내 경제 통합체제), part of a plan to make the two countries’ sectors more attractive to Western investors.
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